基于QAR数据的航空公司飞行安全韧性评价方法
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1.新疆大学交通运输工程学院,乌鲁木齐 830017;2.新疆大学新疆交通基础设施绿色建养与智慧交通管控重点实验室,乌鲁木齐 830017;3.中国民航大学民航安全科学研究所,天津 300300

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An airline flight safety resilience assessment method based on QAR data
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1.School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, China; 2.Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Green Construction and Smart Traffic Control of Transportation Infrastructure, Xinjiang University, Urumqi 830017, China; 3.Research Institute of Civil Aviation Safety, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China

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    摘要:

    为客观量化航空公司飞行安全韧性,提出一种基于QAR数据的飞行安全韧性评价方法(QAR-FSRAM)。首先,通过理论分析界定飞行安全韧性的概念,并描述其飞行绩效数据特征;然后,基于QAR数据,采用短时间序列表达挖掘技术(STEM)构建QAR-FSRAM;最后,以A航空公司在进近阶段的飞行数据作为研究对象进行实例评价。结果表明:飞行安全韧性的绩效数据特征分为趋势和偏离两个维度;QAR-FSRAM包含4个标准化步骤,分别为构建航班韧性绩效表征变量、量化表征变量趋势特征、计算表征变量偏离特征,和分析航空公司航班绩效结构;A航空公司在进近阶段的飞行安全韧性不高,韧性值仅为0.51,将韧性评价结果与飞行品质监控(FOQA)超限检测结果进行对比,验证了QAR-FSRAM的有效性。

    Abstract:

    In order to objectively quantify the flight safety resilience of airlines, a QAR data based flight safety resilience assessment method (QAR-FSRAM) is proposed. Firstly, the concept of flight safety resilience is defined through theoretical analysis, and its characteristic manifestations in flight performance data are described. Subsequently, based on QAR data, the QAR-FSRAM is constructed using the Short Time-series Expression Miner (STEM) technique. Finally, an empirical evaluation is conducted using the flight data of Airline A during the approach phase as a case study. The results show that the performance data characteristics reflecting flight safety resilience are characterized by two dimensions: trend and deviation. Four standardized steps are involved in the QAR-FSRAM: construction of flight resilience performance characterization variables, quantification of their trend characteristics, calculation of their deviation characteristics, and analysis of the airline’s overall flight performance structure. It is revealed by the findings that relatively low flight safety resilience is exhibited by Airline A during the approach phase, with a calculated resilience index of only 0.51. The effectiveness of the proposed QAR-FSRAM method is validated through a comparison between the resilience assessment results and Flight Operations Quality Assurance (FOQA) exceedance detection.

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何 鹏 , 孙瑞山.基于QAR数据的航空公司飞行安全韧性评价方法[J].南京航空航天大学学报,,():

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-09-08
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