基于MFP-TCN-iTransformer模型QAR数据驱动的飞机俯仰角预测方法
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1中国民航大学空中交通管理学院,天津 300300;2中国民航大学计算机与人工智能学院,天津 300300;3中国民航大学工程训练中心,天津 300300

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通讯作者:

王兴隆,男,研究员,E-mail:xinglong1979@163.com。

中图分类号:

TP391

基金项目:

国家重点研发计划(2023YFB4302905)。


A QAR Data-Driven Aircraft Pitch Angle Prediction Method Based on the MFP-TCN-iTransformer Model
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1College of Air Traffic Management, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China;2College of Computer and Artificial Intelligence, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China;3Engineering Training Center, Civil Aviation University of China, Tianjin 300300, China

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    摘要:

    为实现俯仰角的精准预测,本文提出一种融合多飞行阶段(Multi-flight phase, MFP)编码的TCN-iTransformer模型,称为MFP-TCN-iTransformer。该方法构建联合预测架构:iTransformer模块提取快速存取记录器(Quick access recorder, QAR)数据的全局时序特征并捕捉跨变量依赖关系,时序卷积网络(Temporal convolutional network, TCN)模块通过膨胀卷积建模俯仰角的多尺度时序依赖;同时引入多飞行阶段编码,将飞行过程划分5个阶段,以区分不同阶段的数据特性;最后设计特征融合机制,将离散阶段信息与连续QAR数据相结合,以增强模型对阶段特性的适应能力。基于264 352条QAR数据的实验表明,所提模型在平均绝对误差(Mean absolute error, MAE)和均方根误差(Root mean square error, RMSE)上较其他基准模型平均提升19.16%和22.05%。之后经过系统的消融实验验证了各核心组件的有效性,并确认精细化飞行阶段编码能带来稳定的性能提升。结果表明,该模型能够实现高精度的俯仰角预测,对提升飞行安全具有实际价值。

    Abstract:

    To achieve precise prediction of pitch angles, this paper proposes a TCN-iTransformer model, named MFP-TCN-iTransformer, that integrates multi-flight phase (MFP) encoding. This method constructs a joint prediction architecture: The iTransformer module extracts global temporal features from quick access recorder (QAR) data and captures cross-variable dependencies, while the temporal convolutional network (TCN) module models multi-scale temporal dependencies of the pitch angle through dilated convolution. Additionally, MFP encoding is introduced, dividing the flight process into five phases to distinguish the data characteristics of different stages. Finally, a feature fusion mechanism is designed to combine discrete phase information with continuous QAR data, enhancing the model’s adaptability to phase characteristics. Experiments based on 264 352 pieces of QAR data show that the proposed model achieves an average improvement of 19.16% and 22.05% in mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE), respectively, compared to other benchmark models. Systematic ablation studies subsequently verify the effectiveness of each core component and confirm that refined flight phase encoding brings stable performance improvements. The results indicate that the model can achieve high-precision pitch angle prediction, which has practical value for enhancing flight safety.

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王兴隆,宋子凯,薛鹏.基于MFP-TCN-iTransformer模型QAR数据驱动的飞机俯仰角预测方法[J].南京航空航天大学学报,2026,58(3):682-695

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  • 收稿日期:2025-11-06
  • 最后修改日期:2026-03-26
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-06-18
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