| 刘睿禹,吴红兰,陶旭东.基于成本的机载通信系统可靠性安全性一体化设计[J].南京航空航天大学学报,2021,53(4):637-647 |
| 基于成本的机载通信系统可靠性安全性一体化设计 |
| Integrated Design of Reliability and Safety of Airborne Communication System Based on Cost |
| 投稿时间：2020-09-21 修订日期：2021-02-22 |
| DOI：10.16356/j.1005-2615.2021.04.019 |
| 中文关键词: 民用客机通信系统 灰色关联分析 加权指数ZETA评分模型 研发成本 灰色马尔科夫预测模型 |
| 英文关键词:civil airliner communication system grey relational analysis weighted index ZETA scoring model R&D cost grey Markov forecasting model |
| 基金项目:国家自然科学基金委员会-中国民用航空局民航联合研究基金（U2033202）资助项目；航空科学基金（20181352009）资助项目。 |
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| 中文摘要: |
| 针对民用客机的通信系统，在其研发过程中以成本为约束条件权衡系统安全性可靠性作为研究目标。首先确定通信系统可靠性安全性指标，进而通过灰色关联分析与多元线性回归提取关键影响因子并进行量化，并运用MATLAB软件建立单目标-多目标一体化加权指数ZETA评分模型，根据实际要求对比分析了优化结果中不同的权衡域。最后根据民用客机通信系统研发成本，通过基于核和灰度的灰色马尔科夫预测模型对未来某系列民用客机通信系统研发成本进行预测与平均误差计算，验证一体化寻优模型的可行性与可信度。结果证明一体化权衡模型有很好的工程参考价值。 |
| 英文摘要: |
| This article aims at the communication system of civil airliner. This research takes the cost as the constraint condition and weighs the system safety and reliability. First， the reliability and safety index of the communication system is determined， and extracted by the gray correlation analysis and the multiple linear regression. The key impact factors are quantified， and MATLAB software is used to establish a single-object-multi-objective integrated weighted index ZETA scoring model. According to the actual requirements， the different trade-off domains in the optimization results are compared and analyzed. Finally， according to the development cost of the civil aircraft communication system， The kernel and gray Markov prediction model predicts and calculates the average error of the future R&D cost of a certain series of civil airliner communication systems， and verifies the feasibility and credibility of the integrated optimization model. The results demonstrate that the integrated trade-off model is useful and can be reference for engineering practice. |
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